The Watering Hole: July 26 – The Ballistic Missile Age Begins

On this date in 1944, the first ballistic missile was launched by Germany against Great Britain.

The German V2 was an innovation born of rocket scientists whose sole interest was the conquest of space. Their zeal led to one of the most terrifying weapons of WWII. While theThe total toll was less than 10,000 military and civilians., people could determine whether they were in the target area of the missile merely by the tone of its approach. The first V2 to strike England was only a test shot.

Update(WTM): Updated due to incorrect reference to warning sound. Note to Walt: Never try to post after 2AM on a Sunday morning.

Rachel Maddow smacks the crap out of Gov Perry (TX)

Don’t worry, there’s plenty more crap where that came from…

Rick Perry wants to “invoke” the 10th Amendment, because states need to be allowed to find their own solutions.

How’s that workin’ for ya, Guv?

As Rachel points out, Texas has more uninsured people than any other state in the whole US of A.   Rick Perry has been the governor for NINE years, when’s the solutioning gonna happen?

Rachel goes on…Texas has the most expensive health care markets in the whole US of A, and the fewest people insured.  Well, Guv?

Her guest, Lou Dubose, calls it “line item secession.”

Watch the whole video.  It’s awesome.

Saturday night in the cesspool!

Ok, so I’m a day late for National Scotch day.  It’s just how I am.  ;)

The chimps are on duty — make sure you compliment them on their tiny tuxedoes.   Many thanks to gummitch for purchasing all twelve of the tuxes!

If you fall for the “of course we have valet parking” routine, you’re walking home!

(gummitch did know he was buying those tuxedoes, didn’t he…?)

A permanent minority?

There is an interesting dynamic that emerged in the 2008 election, one that has apparently passed well below the general radar.

In last year’s presidential election, younger blacks voted in greater proportions than whites for the first time and black women turned out at a higher rate than any other racial, ethnic and gender group, a census analysis released Monday confirmed.

As a result, in the election that produced the nation’s first black president, the historic gap between black and white voter participation rates over all virtually evaporated.

Further:

Total turnout in 2008 was about the same as it was in 2004, about 64 percent of voting age citizens.

But with Barack Obama on the ballot, the makeup of the 131 million who voted last year was markedly different. While the number of non-Hispanic white voters remained roughly the same, 2 million more blacks, 2 million more Latinos and 600,000 more Asians turned out. Compared with 2004, the voting rate for black, Asian and Hispanic voters increased by about four percentage points. The rate for whites declined by one percentage point.

The big question, of course, is whether this was a one-time event, or a true shift in American voting behavior–and, as a consequence, a true shift in political alignment, and the permanent reduction of the Republican Party to a hard little (primarily Southern) nut with no national presence.

It’s impossible to know for sure, and the new administration’s record in the next year or two will definitely be a factor. But there are other factors at play. A friend of mine, who is well enough versed in the subject that a university pays him to teach the subject, and the BBC brings him on air to explain American politics to a British audience, recently posted a casual blog on the question. (At some point, he will probably publish a paper on the subject and I won’t be able to understand a word, or make any sense of the charts and data.)

Turnout is, in general, habitual, and it’s a habit that is either formed or not formed young — usually the first three election cycles one is eligible to participate in. The decision to or not to vote in the initial opportunity can be influenced by many conditions, such as the competitiveness and/or salience of the election, or the presence of a particularly attractive candidate.

I’m not going out on a limb when I speculate that the 2008 Presidential election in the U.S. featured the latter, especially in relation to certain racial categories. The question that many will ask is whether or not these new voters hold. This will make the 2010 Congressional elections informative for several reasons. My suspicion is, backed by what we know from past elections, that the surge in turnout the youth cohort demonstrated in 2008 will hold. It will fluctuate, of course, but it will hold in the main.

The problem that this presents for the Republicans is two-fold. First, voters tend to maintain the party loyalties that they establish in their first few elections. Again, this is on average, and there are anecdotal exceptions to the rule, but it is a general principle. Second, the surge in turnout in the young cohort was not limited to African-Americans, but also Latinos and Asians. If the Republicans continue pandering to their open-minded, inquisitive, generously tolerant Palinesque base, they’re only going to solidify these voters as Democrats.

There is certainly nothing visible in the behavior of Republican “leadership”, politicians or punditry to indicate that they’ve gotten the message. Rather than attempt to improve their image with non-White voters, they’ve seemingly increased their efforts to appease the hardest of the hardcore, constantly attacking a popular new President and couching much of their attacks in poorly-disguised xenophobia and racism. It’s a strategy that may have worked for the GOP in the past but is not only ill-suited but completely counter-productive in the coming decades, particularly if this shift in voting has solidified.

Birther G. Gordon Liddy embarrasses himself on Hardball

Chris Matthews puts G. Gordon Liddy on the spot, hitting him right between the eyes with the actual evidence that Barack Obama was born in Hawaii, and he still holds on to his ridiculous story that Obama is an illegal alien…

Raw Replay:

Conservative talk radio host G. Gordon Liddy and WRNB Radio’s E. Steven Collins discuss why the debate over President Barack Obama’s citizenship continues to fill radio air time despite the release of the president’s birth certificate which states he was born in Hawaii.

The way in which Liddy mumbles and stumbles around as Chris Matthews hammers him with questions and photos, Liddy sounds like a very old man who is confused and disoriented. He looked like a fool.

That was close..

The New York Times reports:

Top Bush administration officials in 2002 debated testing the Constitution by sending American troops into the suburbs of Buffalo to arrest a group of men suspected of plotting with Al Qaeda, according to former administration officials. (read story)

Cheney was all for it? Surprise, surprise. Some more familiar names crop up John Yoo or Alberto R. Gonzales. Condi was against it.

Your Constitution took a couple of hits during the Bush years, but this is proof how close they were to disband it altogether.

And this is what it was all about.

Former officials said the 2002 debate arose partly from Justice Department concerns that there might not be enough evidence to arrest and successfully prosecute the suspects in Lackawanna. Mr. Cheney, the officials said, had argued that the administration would need a lower threshold of evidence to declare them enemy combatants and keep them in military custody.

To think it would have been only “enemy combatants” who were the ultimate target of the “lower threshold of evidence” would be naive in the extreme. That was meant for you all.

add to del.icio.us : Add to Blinkslist : add to furl : add to ma.gnolia : Stumble It! : add to simpy : seed the vine : : : TailRank : post to facebook

The Watering Hole: July 25 – WWII Swiss Neutrality


On this date in 1940, Henri Guisan declared that the Swiss people would resist any invasion of Swiss territory until the last citizen had succumbed. This policy limited Hitler’s options in the war because even the Wehrmacht lived in fear of the tenacious Swiss. The closure was not complete since bankers allowed financial transfers to continue. Still the collapse of fascist governments in Italy and southeast France was all but assured when the Allied Powers attacked the “underbelly” of Axis Europe.

McCain 2024?

HT: Out.com

No, not this one, he’s so last year..

She’s the one.

Meghan McCain may well be the face of a new generation of young Republicans with an appeal to younger voters that the current figureheads lack. She is at ease with modernity and has already taken on her party on the issue of gay marriage. Add a fight with Ann Coulter and a quip against “Joe the Plumber” and here’s a maverick image in the making.

At her age, 24, she can afford to wait out the meltdown of  the Limbaugh/Palin wing of the GOP and try to use the vaccum created by their implosion.

Her career will be interesting to watch.

add to del.icio.us : Add to Blinkslist : add to furl : add to ma.gnolia : Stumble It! : add to simpy : seed the vine : : : TailRank : post to facebook

Welfare and the Pursuit of Happiness

This is an excerpt from an essay I’ve written in 1988 for a political theory seminar at Munich’s Ludwig-Maximilians-University. The whole thesis is 30 pages and I surely will not bore you with all of that. That means, however, I will have to leave out the many quotes and make it an abstract.

I reanimated the essay in the first place, because there is such a gap between how we Europeans feel about public welfare and the way it’s almost demonized by many Americans. The current discussion about health care in the US obviously stresses the discrepancy.

The starting point for the analysis was looking at two expressions. “Welfare” and “The Pursuit of Happiness.” Both terms play a major role in the French and the American revolutions. How come they mean such different things?

The French Revolution was sparked by unbearable social injustice. People were starving and the aristocracy wallowed in pleasures. Here the writings of the enlightenment fell on fertile ground. And the call for reform grew louder and louder but in the end the monarchy wasn’t reforming quickly enough, if it ever was reformable at all. The Revolution brought on the first test of the  enlightenment’s ideas practical merits.

The concepts of welfare and happiness had merged increasingly in the political theories of the 18th century in France. Individual happiness was soon considered equal to the liberty of gaining property and thus prosperity. Finally there grew an understanding that those, who were not capable of supporting themselves needed to be provided with work, or when unable to work, needed to be alimented.

Jean Jacques Rousseau the protagonist of  happiness as the foundation of  any society asked for the promotion of general happiness by ensuring equality not only in rights but in “indulgencies,” too. For him, happiness was an emotional phenomenon which couldn’t be codified but he defined the happiness of a society as the sum of the happiness of  her individuals. So he called on the rulers to “Make the people happy!” Property as a means to happiness was for him an unavoidable fact, but on the other hand, the root to all evil.

While these and other theories didn’t require a change in regime yet — Necker and Turgot two finance ministers of Louis XVI tried some reform of the monarchy partly along those lines — Antoine Marquis de Condorcet went a step further. He already propagated a form of insurance, designed to protect workers from misery. And he demanded free of charge public schooling to fight the inequality in education which was at the root of  the poverty of the masses.

The French pre-revolutionary society was still an agrarian feudal system and thus wealth was equal to the possession of land. So, to cure the moral consequences of inequality, more even-handedness of the distribution of property was necessary. While Rousseau and Montesquieu were still focusing on allaying the consequences of the existing system, the rather obscure French philosopher Abbé Morelly broke entirely with it. No one was to own more than he needed and everybody was to be employed and alimented by the state.  Education had to be aimed at erasing the concept of individual property.

Welfare and well-being were ultimately defined as economic well-being and thus only the elimination of social inequality would be the road to general happiness.

Consequentially the Declaration of  the Rights of Man and Citizen (1789) and the French Constitution of 1791 showed provisions which accepted the social responsibilities of the state. Soon in 1793 a much more radical constitution indicated the shifts in power from the moderate Montagnards to the more radical Jacobins. Society now was deemed responsible for not only moderating inequality but for actively disposing of it.  Two years later, however, after the fall of the Sans Culottes the constitution of 1795 did away with all that and marked temporarily the end of social justice as a foundation of society.

But the idea of economic equality never went away again. Most Europeans cherish the security a welfare state (no it is not necessarily a cuss-word here) provides.

The situation in North America was different. While a quite densely populated France couldn’t provide for it’s people anymore, a whole continent was at the disposal of the American pioneer settlers, to explore and exploit.

The political writings of American revolutionaries work much more along the line of lex naturalis. They based their political theories on the assumption that man surrenders a certain amount of liberties to a civil government in exchange of protection against the possible cruelties of life. As the “state of nature” in which no one is subject to anybody is the state of perfect liberty and independence, the assignation of parts of those liberties forms a contract. The English King had broken his contract and thus gave Americans the right to rebel. The American Revolution was much more a fight for political liberty than a struggle for economic equality and focused on the premise that being given the liberty to attain wealth and the protection of property  is in itself sufficient to ensure equal chances for success. The Pursuit of Happiness is part of man’s natural make-up and so the helping hand of a civil government is not called for.

America today, however is not the America of the pioneers. The country is densely populated and the wealth the country has to give has already been distributed a long time ago. Not unlike in France in the 18th century there is an upper class, almost aristocratic in its demeanor, and a dwindling middle class on the verge of losing their ability to fare for themselves. And there are a huge number of poor which are virtually excluded from the American Dream.

What do you think? Is it time to rethink the ideas of the French philosophers and put those to the test?

add to del.icio.us : Add to Blinkslist : add to furl : add to ma.gnolia : Stumble It! : add to simpy : seed the vine : : : TailRank : post to facebook

Mining for Destruction

Picture by Indymedia Perth

Grasberg Mine (picture by Indymedia Perth, http://perth.indymedia.org/)

A small snippet in today’s NZZ newspaper made me aware of this incident:

Eight Papuan men have been arrested over a deadly ambush on a security convoy near the giant Freeport gold and copper mine in Indonesia’s Papua province, police said Tuesday.

I really didn’t know one bit about West Papua, except for a few pictures I had in mind from anthropological documentaries about the region. So I decided to read up on the story and found another saddening example of  how corporate greed and recklessness work to destroy the environment of  the most valuable landscapes and the lives of the people living there along with it.

It all started when West Papua – a former colony of the Netherlands – was handed to the UN under The New York Agreement in 1962 and then to Sukarno’s Indonesia following a referendum, the Act of Free Choice, now known as one that was stacked, and railroaded by Indonesian interests. (more about this here)

Once the Act of Free Choice had taken place, the extraction of oil once again got going and the copper already discovered in the Carsztens mountains before the war could be exploited under the more stable conditions of the Soeharto administration by the American mining company Freeport. This constituted a rich source of income for the Indonesian treasury and for the elite in Jakarta, insofar as the latter was involved in the management and central administration of the company. The positive effects on the local economy remained negligible, however; the disadvantages, in the form of pollution and land loss, were therefore all the greater. The Papuan population is one of the poorest groups in Indonesia. (read more)

This is where the July 2009 attacks have their roots. First of all Mining in rainforests has a devastating effect on the environment of the region and thus on its people. Secondly there is a huge amount of money to be made and there is no way to reconcile the two.

Freeport mines 78,000 tonnes of ore/day, plus additional overburden. Virtually all of this is dumped as mine waste and tailings into the rivers surrounding Freeport, making the water toxic and thick with silt, smothering and killing all plant life along the previously fertile river banks. (Other mines like Bougainville and Ok Tedi in PNG have had similar effects). The Komoro people in the Koperapoke area have been ordered to stop consuming sago, their staple food. Freeport has distributed 78 drums to families to catch rainwater for drinking since the water has been contaminated. Plans to expand Freeport’s operations within a recently granted additional 2.6 million hectare concession causes great concern for other communities and their environment. (read more)

Freeport is aware of the rising concerns about the devastating environmental and social effects of its operations. Even some of Freeport’s investors are worrying, but the company will not answer to requests of information. In a hair-raising story in 2005 the New York Times outlines the  practices of Freeport in their endeavour to exploit the riches of  West Papua including spying, bribery and setting up ineffective fig leave funds for the Papuan people.

The closest most people will ever get to remote Papua, or the operations of Freeport-McMoRan, is a computer tour using Google Earth to swoop down over the rain forests and glacier-capped mountains where the American company mines the world’s largest gold reserve.

With a few taps on a keyboard, satellite images quickly reveal the deepening spiral that Freeport has bored out of its Grasberg mine as it pursues a virtually bottomless store of gold hidden inside. They also show a spreading soot-colored bruise of almost a billion tons of mine waste that the New Orleans-based company has dumped directly into a jungle river of what had been one of the world’s last untouched landscapes.

What is far harder to discern is the intricate web of political and military ties that have helped shield Freeport from the rising pressures that other gold miners have faced to clean up their practices. Only lightly touched by a scant regulatory regime, and cloaked in the protection of the military, Freeport has managed to maintain a nearly impenetrable redoubt on the easternmost Indonesian province as it taps one of the country’s richest assets. (read more)

Just because the NYT’s story is five years old, doesn’t mean things have changed for the better since then. Just take a look at Freeport’s website. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc.’s Second-Quarter and Six-Month 2009 Results don’t show any departure from the practices mentioned in the NYT story. The Indonesian mining, namely the Grasberg mine, is still a growing project. No word on environmental measures. The fact, that in the above mentioned incident Freeport employees were victims of the attack along with Indonesian police suggests that nothing much has changed in the “special relationship” between the company and the Indonesian security forces as well.

Trust the Indonesian government, however, to make the best of the attacks mentioned above. Concerned that West Papua might go the way of East Timor and gain sovereignty over its own riches, they deployed anti-terror troops to the region.

add to del.icio.us : Add to Blinkslist : add to furl : add to ma.gnolia : Stumble It! : add to simpy : seed the vine : : : TailRank : post to facebook